Western Kentucky -6 vs UTSA – I didn’t have any agenda to take this bet originally, but I had WKU handicapped at -9 so when the line game out at -6 I figured I’d take it. Plus UTSA just can’t score, and WKU, well…they really know how to score.
Vanderbilt +30 at Mississippi State – Classsic hangover game. Mississippi State played a rough game against Alabama and is now beat down. They may review Vanderbilit tape this week, but let’s be real. Everyone at Mississippi State has their eyes set on the next game – traveling to Ole Miss for the Egg Bowl and a shot at the playoffs. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, spent the past week on a bye week, resting up and studying film to play their best game against the #4 ranked team in the country. One more thing – if Mississippi State does get a big lead, they’ll be pulling all of their starters out very quickly to rest up for Ole Miss and not risk getting injured.
Boston College +20.5 at Florida State – Still fading Florida State into oblivion. I have the line at 15.5 raw. Add to that the fact that BC is coming off a bye week, and we’re looking at a line of 12.5 or so.
Virginia +7 vs Miami – UVA had a bye week to rest up, while the Canes go on the road after a brutal and demoralizing defeat.
Georgia State +39.5 at Clemson – Can Clemson even score 40 points? Georgia State may be the worst team in FBS, but they are at least coming off a bye week. Will Clemson get caught looking ahead at the South Carolina game?
Samford +40.5 at Auburn – I’ve seen Samford firsthand this year, and have been following them loosely since the TCU game. They have a handful of respectable wins, including two shutouts. With Auburn in a bit of a tailspin and, more importantly, looking ahead to the Iron Bowl, there’s no reason Auburn should cover here.
Eastern Kentucky +32.5 at Florida – Of course we have every reason to fade Florida with all of the Muschamp drama. But beyond that, this is just as much about EKU. The Colonels are 8-2, with their two losses coming from a very respectable Jacksonville State team, and a bizarre road loss at Tennessee Tech. They also have a win at Miami Ohio, for what that’s worth.
Marshall -20 at UAB – I like Marshall a lot, and am a proponent of them at least being ranked by the playoff committee. Add to that the fact that UAB’s football program is in disarray after they’ve begun talks to discontinue the program. However, at -20 I’m having to overpay for this line, and I have to wonder when the music will stop for Marshall (just in terms of them covering the spread, not regarding their undefeated season).
Charleston Southern +41.5 at Georgia – I’m waiting for the public to bid this line up a lot higher. Georgia has had a pretty easy time running all over weaker teams, so I need to get as many points as I can here. For what it’s worth, Charleston Southern is #11 in run defense and has a solid rushing game of its own, and that means they’ll be able to easily wear down the clock. But still – a look at Georgia’s games this year shows they have no mercy on these teams.
Western Carolina +51.5 or so at Alabama – This line isn’t even out yet anywhere. What gives?