BYU -1.5 vs Utah State (Preaseason) – This line came out in preseason and it was hilariously wrong. The line ended up closing at BYU -17.
|San Diego State||79.02|
|Texas San Antonio||59.58|
|San José State||56.98|
|New Mexico State||49.97|
This Week: 3-2 (60.0%)
Season: 36-30 (54.5%)
Career: 136-97 (58.4%)
Houston +17 vs Louisville (W): Oh man did they cover this spread. There was a lot of hype on Houston’s campus about this game. They were pulling out a lot of stops. And it was a short week, so underdogs usually cover large spreads.
West Virginia +4.5 vs Oklahoma (L): Usually when it’s cold and snowing at night in West Virginia, the Mountaineers pull out an upset. But this was not the case and Oklahoma, who looked very good already, had their best game of the season.
The Citadel +23.5 at North Carolina (L) – This was a total mistake and I don’t know why. I loved this bet, absolutely loved it. The Citadel was undefeated, with a triple option, with a chip on their shoulder, and they totally blew it.
Western Carolina +30.5 at South Carolina (W) – Wow WCU really came to play! Not super surprising since South Carolina is a tier below most SEC teams.
Alabama A&M +56 at Auburn (W) – Auburn won 55-0. I’ll take it.
The Citadel +23.5 at North Carolina – The Citadel is 10-0 and a triple option team. Love this.
Western Carolina +30.5 at South Carolina – Handicap is fair. WCU in a down year but should come to play!
Alabama A&M +56 at Auburn – Handicap is around 70 so feels dangerous but oh well!
As I do every year, betting on FCS teams in November games. Except I don’t bet against Alabama cause they take these teams very seriously. And not betting on Ausin Peay at Kentuxky because they suspended five players.
Houston +17 vs Louisville: I like the short week as an equalizer, and 17 is at the high range of my handicap (Bill and I have 17, but Sagarin has 12 and Ed Feng has 10). Louisville could try to take it out on Houston to make a statement to the committee, so there is that. And Houston could still be distracted with Tom Herman rumors. But my gut is that they come to fight in this game.
West Virginia +4.5 vs Oklahoma: Speaking of teams feeling disrespected by the playoff committee. Traveling to WVU is never easy, and I have a feeling they have something up their sleeve. I have the game handicapped at WVU +1.5.
More picks to come on Saturday morning!
This Week: 3-4 (42.9%)
Season: 32-28 (53.3%)
Career: 133-95 (58.3%)
Auburn -7.5 at Georgia (L) – Shawn White was injured, bad bet.
Michigan -18 at Iowa (L) – The line moved to 24 but I figured I was probably overpaying on this one, especially for a night game.
Penn State -6.5 at Indiana (W) – Won by 14 but it was close at the end! Penn State looks very good.
Stanford -2 at Oregon (W) – Oregon’s defense is so so bad.
UTSA +20.5 at LA Tech (L) – I’m just going to stop it with the LA Tech bets.
Rice +10 at Charotte (W) – The handicap was right, kind of! Rice defense shut out Charlotte in the second half which was…very unexpected.
North Texas +30 at Western Kentucky (L) – I had it handicapped at 23 but nevermind I guess. WKU has been very good at picking apart bad teams.
Auburn -7.5 at Georgia
Michigan -18 at Iowa
Penn State -6.5 at Indiana
Stanford -2 at Oregon
UTSA +20.5 at LA Tech
Rice +10 at Charotte
North Texas +30 at Western Kentucky
The top six teams that have surfaced all have a very legitimate shot at the playoff, as they should. Also, the notion that Clemson is better than Michigan is pretty wrong, in that the vast majority of all power ratings systems have Michigan ranked higher.
|San Diego State||81.50|
|Texas San Antonio||58.16|
|San José State||56.49|
|New Mexico State||46.02|
This Week: 2-1 (66.7%)
Season: 29-24 (54.7%)
Career: 130-91 (58.8%)
Syracuse +28.5 at Clemson (L): Eric Dungey got injured early in the game, and Syracuse never had a chance. Even so, this was a surprising result as generally Syracuse can hang in there with most teams. That was because of their offense though, and Dungey sure does a lot with his arm and his legs to put up that yardage. Without him, Syracuse may be in big trouble.
Louisiana Tech +21 at North Texas (Push): For what it’s worth, the adjusted scoring margin was -14.9 points, so the bet on UNT was in the right direction.
Washington -11.5 at California (W): Huskies planned to put up big numbers after getting snubbed by the Playoff Committee. But mainly this was a handicap play since it was off by like 6 points from the fair line.
TCU +9.5 at Baylor (W): I figured we’d play tough in a rivalry game, but wow…I did not expect this!