Memphis -23.5 vs Georgia State: I think Memphis is very undervalued especially after a loss last week in which they had a 98% post-game win expectancy, meaning Navy got a ton of lucky bounces. If you re-organized the plays in that game and gave 50% odds to each team for fumble recoveries, Memphis should have won that game by multiple touchdowns.
Maryland -11.5 vs Temple: Also not sure why this opened so low, but I have this game at -16.
Tulsa +2.5 vs Arkansas State: I actually have Tulsa favored by 6 in this game. Most systems have them between -4 to -7. I am not sure why they opened as underdogs, they’re now slight favorites but still lots of value there.
Baylor pk vs Duke – I already had Baylor -7 before accounting for Duke’s injuries and boy did they sustain some big injuries last week. Game should be handicapped at -10. Still hate Baylor though.
Virginia -5 vs Ohio: I‘m going to go out on a limb here, I have the game at -5 but Ohio has been terrible against the spread so far and other systems have the game handicapped between -12 to -23.
Houston Over 35 Points at Texas Tech: I’m actually surprised the point total is this low for the game. This should be a high scoring affair.
Memphis -7 at Navy: Memphis covered last week’s spread by a good amount and I have them favored by 12 in this game. Other models range between 7 points (Sagarin) to 26 poitns (S&P+) but the upside appears to be there for Memphis.
Utah State -18 vs New Mexico State: Similar to the pick above, Utah State showed they could play with Michigan State which may be a good sign of things to come. It’s more likely that Utah State is an improved team than it is that Michigan State is worse. New Mexico State did not show well either in their openers against Wyoming and Minnesota.
Liberty +10.5 at Army: I was very impressed by Liberty’s offensive play against what was supposed to be a much improved Old Dominion defense. Look for the Flames to put up points again in this one.
Iowa -3.5 vs Iowa State: I must be going crazy but I have this handicapped at -11. I suppose you could give Iowa State credit for having a semi-bye week but only so much.
Auburn -50.5 vs Alabama State: This is a huge spread in a sandwich game. Auburn should hardly try. It appears Auburn will play their starters in this game, I have it handicapped at 67 and Bill C has it at 80.
Houston Over 37 Points – I’m taking this bet all season long for Houston to go over on expected points.