source link This Week: 2-1 (66.7%)
here Season: 10-7 (58.8%)
go to link Career: 161-123 (56.7%)
Charlotte +10 at UMass
SMU +12 vs Navy
Houston Over 59 Points
|San Diego State||73.57|
|San Jose State||51.85|
|New Mexico State||45.58|
http://cinziamazzamakeup.com/?x=comprare-viagra-generico-pagamento-online-a-Roma This Week: 3-3 (50.0%)
viagra generico 25 mg prezzo piu basso a Venezia Career: 159-122 (56.6%)
http://cinziamazzamakeup.com/?x=miglior-sito-per-comprare-viagra-generico-50-mg-a-Firenze Memphis -23.5 vs Georgia State: I think Memphis is very undervalued especially after a loss last week in which they had a 98% post-game win expectancy, meaning Navy got a ton of lucky bounces. If you re-organized the plays in that game and gave 50% odds to each team for fumble recoveries, Memphis should have won that game by multiple touchdowns.
http://thefoolishobsession.com/tag/mor-cosmetics/ Maryland -11.5 vs Temple: Also not sure why this opened so low, but I have this game at -16.
acquistare viagra generico 50 mg pagamento online a Roma Tulsa +2.5 vs Arkansas State: I actually have Tulsa favored by 6 in this game. Most systems have them between -4 to -7. I am not sure why they opened as underdogs, they’re now slight favorites but still lots of value there.
vardenafil 20 mg senza ricetta online in italia Baylor pk vs Duke – I already had Baylor -7 before accounting for Duke’s injuries and boy did they sustain some big injuries last week. Game should be handicapped at -10. Still hate Baylor though.
Virginia -5 vs Ohio: I‘m going to go out on a limb here, I have the game at -5 but Ohio has been terrible against the spread so far and other systems have the game handicapped between -12 to -23.
Houston Over 35 Points at Texas Tech: I’m actually surprised the point total is this low for the game. This should be a high scoring affair.
|San Diego State||72.5|
|San Jose State||50.7|
|New Mexico State||47.1|
This Week: 4-2 (66.7%)
Season: 5-3 (62.5%)
Career: 156-119 (56.7%)
Memphis -7 at Navy: Memphis covered last week’s spread by a good amount and I have them favored by 12 in this game. Other models range between 7 points (Sagarin) to 26 poitns (S&P+) but the upside appears to be there for Memphis.
Utah State -18 vs New Mexico State: Similar to the pick above, Utah State showed they could play with Michigan State which may be a good sign of things to come. It’s more likely that Utah State is an improved team than it is that Michigan State is worse. New Mexico State did not show well either in their openers against Wyoming and Minnesota.
Liberty +10.5 at Army: I was very impressed by Liberty’s offensive play against what was supposed to be a much improved Old Dominion defense. Look for the Flames to put up points again in this one.
Iowa -3.5 vs Iowa State: I must be going crazy but I have this handicapped at -11. I suppose you could give Iowa State credit for having a semi-bye week but only so much.
Auburn -50.5 vs Alabama State: This is a huge spread in a sandwich game. Auburn should hardly try. It appears Auburn will play their starters in this game, I have it handicapped at 67 and Bill C has it at 80.
Houston Over 37 Points – I’m taking this bet all season long for Houston to go over on expected points.
A few big movers to note – Liberty moved up over 5 points due to their huge win over Old Dominion, as did Fresno State after putting up 79 points on Idaho.
While some may suggest excluding these extreme results, previous backtesting has proven that adjusting power ratings by how much they cover the spread should always be done in a linear manner – not diluted once margins of victory get very high.
Also noteworthy is my numbers are still bullish on Michigan despite their loss at Notre Dame. Michigan also had very bad turnovers luck in that game. Boise State is quietly #14 on the list, making their upcoming visit to Oklahoma State very exciting.
|50||San Diego State||73.63|
|119||San Jose State||52.16|
|121||New Mexico State||49.98|
James Madison +14 at NC State: The Wolfpack only returns 9 starters from last year’s senior heavy team – the least of any team in the ACC. Now they go up against the JMU dukes, who went to the FCS National Championship last year and won it all the year before. If NC State overlooks them at all, there’s a good chance that JMU wins the game outright. I’ve got the game handicapped at 7.5 so anything better than that is great value.
Houston -24 vs Rice: I may be betting on Houston a lot this year. Rice has already played a game, meaning they have less time to prepare and are playing a team that already has film on them. Rice on the other end hasn’t seen any of the new Houston offense. It doesn’t help their case that they struggled with Prairie View A&M. I’ve got it handicapped at 25, but would take any bet up to 27.